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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.68+6.05vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University3.43+2.76vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16+2.57vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College1.63+7.09vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.36+3.35vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.31+2.58vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.09-1.12vs Predicted
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8Cornell University1.87+1.93vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College3.06-3.09vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan2.09-0.63vs Predicted
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11Fordham University2.40-2.81vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University1.93-2.06vs Predicted
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13Tulane University2.94-6.71vs Predicted
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14Hampton University1.08-1.48vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.59-3.80vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida1.53-4.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.05George Washington University2.680.1%1st Place
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4.76Jacksonville University3.430.2%1st Place
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5.57U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.1%1st Place
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11.09Eckerd College1.630.0%1st Place
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8.35University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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8.58Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
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5.88Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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9.93Cornell University1.870.0%1st Place
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5.91SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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9.37University of Michigan2.090.0%1st Place
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8.19Fordham University2.400.1%1st Place
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9.94Old Dominion University1.930.0%1st Place
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6.29Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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12.52Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
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11.2Salve Regina University1.590.0%1st Place
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11.37University of South Florida1.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Logue | 6.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 15.7% | 16.5% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carrson Pearce | 11.9% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Daniel Vail | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 13.7% | 14.7% |
| Parker Colantuono | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 1.5% |
| Kyle Riggs | 4.2% | 3.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.0% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 12.3% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Ethan Andersen | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 6.3% |
| Benton Amthor | 10.8% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| August Sturm | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% |
| Tucker Hersam | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.0% |
| Parker Purrington | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.3% |
| Cameron Giblin | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 11.7% | 14.1% | 30.0% |
| Joey Lark | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 13.9% | 13.2% |
| Christian Koules | 1.4% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 14.4% | 14.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.