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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.09+4.71vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.68+5.14vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.94+3.28vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16+1.71vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University3.43-0.23vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College3.06+0.03vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.93+2.93vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.36+0.21vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.31-0.54vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.59+1.20vs Predicted
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11Cornell University1.87-0.93vs Predicted
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12Fordham University2.40-3.77vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan2.09-3.68vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida1.53-2.86vs Predicted
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15Hampton University1.08-2.27vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College1.63-4.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.71Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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7.14George Washington University2.680.1%1st Place
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6.28Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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5.71U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.1%1st Place
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4.77Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
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6.03SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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9.93Old Dominion University1.930.0%1st Place
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8.21University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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8.46Northeastern University2.310.1%1st Place
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11.2Salve Regina University1.590.0%1st Place
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10.07Cornell University1.870.0%1st Place
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8.23Fordham University2.400.1%1st Place
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9.32University of Michigan2.090.0%1st Place
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11.14University of South Florida1.530.0%1st Place
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12.73Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
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11.05Eckerd College1.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Cartwright | 11.4% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Matt Logue | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Cameron Giblin | 10.5% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Carrson Pearce | 10.9% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 15.0% | 13.7% | 14.3% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Benton Amthor | 8.9% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Parker Purrington | 3.9% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 6.7% |
| Parker Colantuono | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 1.3% |
| Kyle Riggs | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.1% |
| Joey Lark | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 13.4% | 13.3% |
| Ethan Andersen | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 7.2% |
| Tucker Hersam | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.4% |
| August Sturm | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 4.8% |
| Christian Koules | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 15.2% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 16.6% | 32.2% |
| Daniel Vail | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 13.3% | 12.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.