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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.93+4.56vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College2.17+6.47vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.74+3.39vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan2.03+5.06vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University2.12+3.55vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.58+1.12vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.59+3.77vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.72+2.04vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.63-2.06vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.27-1.99vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University1.96-1.46vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University2.18-3.54vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College1.69-2.48vs Predicted
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14Tulane University2.23-5.47vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.12-6.28vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.98-6.62vs Predicted
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17Hampton University-3.56-0.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.56University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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8.47Eckerd College2.170.1%1st Place
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6.39George Washington University2.740.1%1st Place
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9.06University of Michigan2.030.1%1st Place
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8.55Jacksonville University2.120.1%1st Place
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7.12Roger Williams University2.580.1%1st Place
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10.77University of South Florida1.590.0%1st Place
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10.04Northeastern University1.720.0%1st Place
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6.94Fordham University2.630.1%1st Place
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8.01Cornell University2.270.1%1st Place
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9.54Christopher Newport University1.960.0%1st Place
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8.46Old Dominion University2.180.1%1st Place
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10.52SUNY Maritime College1.690.0%1st Place
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8.53Tulane University2.230.1%1st Place
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8.72U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.120.1%1st Place
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9.38Salve Regina University1.980.0%1st Place
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16.96Hampton University-3.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Ingalls | 14.0% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Connor Ratcliff | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| Michael Ehnot | 10.3% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Jenna Probst | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 0.2% |
| Chris Kiener | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 0.0% |
| David Wood | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Hanley | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 12.8% | 15.2% | 0.1% |
| Matt Hersey | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 13.5% | 0.1% |
| Porter Kavle | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Gerard Eastman | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Vir Menon | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 0.0% |
| Noyl Odom | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 0.2% |
| Hunter Kahler | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 15.0% | 0.0% |
| Asher Zittrer | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 0.0% |
| Garrett Lawlor | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Bowdler | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 0.0% |
| Khari Parrish | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 99.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.