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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan2.03+7.86vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.23+6.22vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University1.96+6.32vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.58+3.05vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.27+2.97vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.93-0.16vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University2.12+1.73vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.12+0.59vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.74-2.46vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University2.18-1.66vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College1.69-0.50vs Predicted
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12Fordham University2.63-5.16vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida1.59-2.12vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College2.17-5.27vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.98-5.73vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.72-5.64vs Predicted
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17Hampton University-3.56-0.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.86University of Michigan2.030.1%1st Place
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8.22Tulane University2.230.1%1st Place
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9.32Christopher Newport University1.960.1%1st Place
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7.05Roger Williams University2.580.1%1st Place
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7.97Cornell University2.270.1%1st Place
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5.84University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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8.73Jacksonville University2.120.1%1st Place
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8.59U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.120.1%1st Place
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6.54George Washington University2.740.1%1st Place
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8.34Old Dominion University2.180.0%1st Place
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10.5SUNY Maritime College1.690.0%1st Place
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6.84Fordham University2.630.1%1st Place
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10.88University of South Florida1.590.0%1st Place
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8.73Eckerd College2.170.1%1st Place
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9.27Salve Regina University1.980.0%1st Place
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10.36Northeastern University1.720.0%1st Place
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16.96Hampton University-3.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jenna Probst | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| Asher Zittrer | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Vir Menon | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 0.1% |
| David Wood | 9.2% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Gerard Eastman | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| Luke Ingalls | 10.9% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Chris Kiener | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 0.0% |
| Garrett Lawlor | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Ehnot | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Noyl Odom | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Kahler | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 13.7% | 15.0% | 0.2% |
| Porter Kavle | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Ethan Hanley | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 17.4% | 0.2% |
| Connor Ratcliff | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 0.0% |
| Alex Bowdler | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 0.1% |
| Matt Hersey | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 13.5% | 0.0% |
| Khari Parrish | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 99.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.