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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.09+5.46vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.14+4.24vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.20+6.74vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.18+5.37vs Predicted
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5Yale University1.70+4.80vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University0.97+7.69vs Predicted
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7Boston College1.73+0.68vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.82+3.50vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.84-0.08vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.62-1.76vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College1.48-2.19vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University1.61-3.78vs Predicted
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13Tufts University0.55-0.09vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University0.46-0.28vs Predicted
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15Yale University1.59-6.42vs Predicted
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16Tufts University0.80-4.04vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy-0.82+0.19vs Predicted
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18Tufts University0.80-6.29vs Predicted
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19Williams College-1.40-0.80vs Predicted
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20Harvard University1.85-12.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.46Roger Williams University2.0910.0%1st Place
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6.24Brown University2.1412.3%1st Place
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9.74University of Rhode Island1.204.3%1st Place
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9.37Tufts University1.185.8%1st Place
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9.8Yale University1.704.5%1st Place
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13.69Salve Regina University0.971.8%1st Place
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7.68Boston College1.737.1%1st Place
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11.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.822.8%1st Place
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8.92Roger Williams University1.845.1%1st Place
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8.24Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.626.7%1st Place
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8.81Bowdoin College1.485.9%1st Place
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8.22Roger Williams University1.616.7%1st Place
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12.91Tufts University0.552.2%1st Place
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13.72Northeastern University0.462.2%1st Place
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8.58Yale University1.596.5%1st Place
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11.96Tufts University0.803.1%1st Place
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17.19Maine Maritime Academy-0.820.5%1st Place
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11.71Tufts University0.803.1%1st Place
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18.2Williams College-1.400.4%1st Place
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7.05Harvard University1.859.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Stokke | 10.0% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Lamm | 12.3% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Max Sigel | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Alex Adams | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 14.4% | 11.1% | 5.2% |
| Alex Lech | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Karya Basaraner | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 0.7% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| William Kulas | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Tristan McDonald | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kiana Beachy | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 7.8% | 2.4% |
| Aidan Boni | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 12.0% | 3.9% |
| Mathias Reimer | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Blake Vogel | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 5.0% | 1.1% |
| Isaac Thompson | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 12.1% | 29.1% | 29.3% |
| Grant Schmidt | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 1.6% |
| Max Harthorne | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 18.8% | 54.4% |
| Harrison Strom | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.