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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.19+7.85vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy4.34+6.28vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University4.78+3.48vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston4.34+4.23vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.90+5.37vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University5.19-1.03vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.56+4.70vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania3.63+3.59vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.62+2.11vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.45-2.37vs Predicted
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11Harvard University4.52-3.54vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.70-0.58vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.48-1.20vs Predicted
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14Boston University4.07-4.52vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University3.31-2.49vs Predicted
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16University of Miami2.43-0.29vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University4.01-7.35vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida3.48-6.15vs Predicted
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19University of Vermont3.62-8.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.85Yale University4.190.0%1st Place
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8.28U. S. Naval Academy4.340.1%1st Place
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6.48Roger Williams University4.780.1%1st Place
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8.23College of Charleston4.340.1%1st Place
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10.37Stanford University3.900.0%1st Place
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4.97Georgetown University5.190.2%1st Place
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11.7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.560.0%1st Place
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11.59University of Pennsylvania3.630.0%1st Place
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11.11University of Rhode Island3.620.0%1st Place
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7.63Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.450.1%1st Place
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7.46Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
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11.42Tufts University3.700.0%1st Place
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11.8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.480.0%1st Place
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9.48Boston University4.070.1%1st Place
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12.51Salve Regina University3.310.0%1st Place
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15.71University of Miami2.430.0%1st Place
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9.65Old Dominion University4.010.0%1st Place
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11.85University of South Florida3.480.0%1st Place
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10.9University of Vermont3.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Morris | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Robert Vann | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Cy Thompson | 11.7% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Jackson Benvenutti | 5.2% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Mateo Vargas | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 2.5% |
| Charlie Buckingham | 17.9% | 14.2% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Frederick Whitman | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% |
| Halsey Richartz | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.3% |
| Matthew Carmody | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 4.4% |
| David Thompson | 7.4% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Alan Palmer | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Massimo Soriano | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% |
| Ian Holtzworth | 3.7% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 6.2% |
| Ben Greenfield | 5.0% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% |
| Matthew Schon | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 13.9% | 10.5% |
| Alex Olt | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 13.3% | 41.5% |
| Dillon Paiva | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.5% |
| SEAN Ross | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.5% |
| Coleman Bowen | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.