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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.12+7.41vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.98+7.12vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.27+5.09vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College1.44+7.17vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.93+0.58vs Predicted
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6Tulane University2.23+2.38vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.18+1.42vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.63-1.38vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College2.17-0.32vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.58-3.18vs Predicted
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11University of Michigan2.03-1.83vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.12-3.36vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.72-2.63vs Predicted
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14George Washington University2.74-7.58vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University1.89-5.52vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida1.59-5.31vs Predicted
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17Hampton University-3.56-0.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.41Jacksonville University2.120.1%1st Place
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9.12Salve Regina University1.980.1%1st Place
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8.09Cornell University2.270.1%1st Place
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11.17SUNY Maritime College1.440.0%1st Place
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5.58University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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8.38Tulane University2.230.1%1st Place
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8.42Old Dominion University2.180.1%1st Place
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6.62Fordham University2.630.1%1st Place
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8.68Eckerd College2.170.0%1st Place
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6.82Roger Williams University2.580.1%1st Place
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9.17University of Michigan2.030.1%1st Place
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8.64U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.120.1%1st Place
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10.37Northeastern University1.720.0%1st Place
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6.42George Washington University2.740.1%1st Place
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9.48Christopher Newport University1.890.0%1st Place
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10.69University of South Florida1.590.0%1st Place
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16.96Hampton University-3.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Kiener | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| Alex Bowdler | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 0.0% |
| Gerard Eastman | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Molesky | 2.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 12.7% | 19.9% | 0.2% |
| Luke Ingalls | 13.5% | 12.6% | 8.8% | 12.5% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Asher Zittrer | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Noyl Odom | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Porter Kavle | 10.3% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Connor Ratcliff | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 0.0% |
| David Wood | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Jenna Probst | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| Garrett Lawlor | 5.7% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 0.2% |
| Matt Hersey | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 0.2% |
| Michael Ehnot | 9.3% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Charney | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 0.1% |
| Ethan Hanley | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 15.5% | 0.1% |
| Khari Parrish | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 99.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.