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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.27+6.88vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.23+6.16vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.12+5.62vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University2.12+4.75vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College2.17+3.21vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.74+0.48vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan2.03+1.98vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.93-2.39vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.58-1.92vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.98-0.96vs Predicted
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11Fordham University2.63-4.14vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University2.18-3.59vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College1.44-1.64vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.72-3.65vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University1.89-5.54vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida1.59-5.23vs Predicted
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17Hampton University-3.56-0.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.88Cornell University2.270.1%1st Place
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8.16Tulane University2.230.1%1st Place
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8.62U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.120.1%1st Place
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8.75Jacksonville University2.120.1%1st Place
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8.21Eckerd College2.170.1%1st Place
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6.48George Washington University2.740.1%1st Place
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8.98University of Michigan2.030.1%1st Place
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5.61University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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7.08Roger Williams University2.580.1%1st Place
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9.04Salve Regina University1.980.0%1st Place
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6.86Fordham University2.630.1%1st Place
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8.41Old Dominion University2.180.1%1st Place
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11.36SUNY Maritime College1.440.0%1st Place
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10.35Northeastern University1.720.0%1st Place
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9.46Christopher Newport University1.890.0%1st Place
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10.77University of South Florida1.590.0%1st Place
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16.96Hampton University-3.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gerard Eastman | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Asher Zittrer | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Garrett Lawlor | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 0.1% |
| Chris Kiener | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 0.1% |
| Connor Ratcliff | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| Michael Ehnot | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Jenna Probst | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 0.0% |
| Luke Ingalls | 13.6% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| David Wood | 6.3% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Alex Bowdler | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 0.0% |
| Porter Kavle | 10.2% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Noyl Odom | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 0.2% |
| Aidan Molesky | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 20.1% | 0.4% |
| Matt Hersey | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 13.3% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Charney | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 0.2% |
| Ethan Hanley | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 17.2% | 0.0% |
| Khari Parrish | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 99.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.