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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.74+5.09vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.18+6.23vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College1.44+8.07vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.98+5.24vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.58+1.69vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.27+2.15vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.17+1.44vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.93-2.43vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University1.96+0.38vs Predicted
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10Fordham University2.63-3.48vs Predicted
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11Tulane University2.23-2.66vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.72-1.94vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan2.03-3.91vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.78-3.99vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University2.12-6.47vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida1.59-5.36vs Predicted
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17Hampton University-3.56-0.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.09George Washington University2.740.1%1st Place
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8.23Old Dominion University2.180.1%1st Place
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11.07SUNY Maritime College1.440.0%1st Place
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9.24Salve Regina University1.980.1%1st Place
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6.69Roger Williams University2.580.1%1st Place
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8.15Cornell University2.270.1%1st Place
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8.44Eckerd College2.170.1%1st Place
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5.57University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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9.38Christopher Newport University1.960.0%1st Place
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6.52Fordham University2.630.1%1st Place
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8.34Tulane University2.230.1%1st Place
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10.06Northeastern University1.720.0%1st Place
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9.09University of Michigan2.030.0%1st Place
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10.01U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.780.0%1st Place
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8.53Jacksonville University2.120.1%1st Place
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10.64University of South Florida1.590.0%1st Place
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16.96Hampton University-3.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Ehnot | 11.5% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Noyl Odom | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Molesky | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 20.2% | 0.3% |
| Alex Bowdler | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 0.0% |
| David Wood | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Gerard Eastman | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Connor Ratcliff | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Luke Ingalls | 13.5% | 13.8% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vir Menon | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| Porter Kavle | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Asher Zittrer | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| Matt Hersey | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 0.2% |
| Jenna Probst | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 0.1% |
| Luke Welker | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 0.0% |
| Chris Kiener | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Hanley | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 15.1% | 0.0% |
| Khari Parrish | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 99.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.