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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.58+5.62vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.27+5.97vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University2.12+5.59vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.93+1.66vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.72+4.90vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.63+0.80vs Predicted
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7Tulane University2.23+1.18vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.18+0.15vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University1.98+0.33vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.74-3.82vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College1.44+0.24vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College2.17-3.66vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University1.89-3.42vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan2.03-5.00vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida1.59-4.39vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.78-6.10vs Predicted
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17Hampton University-3.56-0.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.62Roger Williams University2.580.1%1st Place
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7.97Cornell University2.270.1%1st Place
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8.59Jacksonville University2.120.1%1st Place
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5.66University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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9.9Northeastern University1.720.0%1st Place
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6.8Fordham University2.630.1%1st Place
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8.18Tulane University2.230.1%1st Place
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8.15Old Dominion University2.180.1%1st Place
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9.33Salve Regina University1.980.0%1st Place
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6.18George Washington University2.740.1%1st Place
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11.24SUNY Maritime College1.440.0%1st Place
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8.34Eckerd College2.170.1%1st Place
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9.58Christopher Newport University1.890.0%1st Place
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9.0University of Michigan2.030.0%1st Place
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10.61University of South Florida1.590.0%1st Place
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9.9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.780.0%1st Place
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16.96Hampton University-3.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Wood | 9.8% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Gerard Eastman | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Chris Kiener | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 0.0% |
| Luke Ingalls | 12.2% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Matt Hersey | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 0.1% |
| Porter Kavle | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Asher Zittrer | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Noyl Odom | 7.6% | 4.8% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Bowdler | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 0.1% |
| Michael Ehnot | 10.7% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Molesky | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 12.9% | 21.8% | 0.2% |
| Connor Ratcliff | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 0.1% |
| Spencer Charney | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 0.1% |
| Jenna Probst | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Hanley | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 15.1% | 0.1% |
| Luke Welker | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 0.0% |
| Khari Parrish | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 99.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.