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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University2.63+5.44vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.58+4.69vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University1.89+6.44vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.93+1.68vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.78+4.67vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.18+2.49vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.17+1.47vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College1.44+2.85vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan2.03+0.15vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.98-0.99vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.27-2.79vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.72-1.94vs Predicted
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13Tulane University2.23-4.73vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida1.59-3.25vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University2.12-6.47vs Predicted
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16George Washington University2.74-9.70vs Predicted
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17Hampton University-3.56-0.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.44Fordham University2.630.1%1st Place
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6.69Roger Williams University2.580.1%1st Place
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9.44Christopher Newport University1.890.0%1st Place
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5.68University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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9.67U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.780.0%1st Place
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8.49Old Dominion University2.180.1%1st Place
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8.47Eckerd College2.170.1%1st Place
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10.85SUNY Maritime College1.440.0%1st Place
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9.15University of Michigan2.030.0%1st Place
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9.01Salve Regina University1.980.0%1st Place
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8.21Cornell University2.270.1%1st Place
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10.06Northeastern University1.720.0%1st Place
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8.27Tulane University2.230.1%1st Place
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10.75University of South Florida1.590.0%1st Place
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8.53Jacksonville University2.120.1%1st Place
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6.3George Washington University2.740.1%1st Place
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16.96Hampton University-3.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Porter Kavle | 11.6% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| David Wood | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Charney | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 0.2% |
| Luke Ingalls | 12.1% | 12.9% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Luke Welker | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 0.0% |
| Noyl Odom | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 0.0% |
| Connor Ratcliff | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Molesky | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 19.3% | 0.1% |
| Jenna Probst | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 0.1% |
| Alex Bowdler | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 0.0% |
| Gerard Eastman | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| Matt Hersey | 3.7% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 0.2% |
| Asher Zittrer | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Hanley | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 13.0% | 14.8% | 0.0% |
| Chris Kiener | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 0.0% |
| Michael Ehnot | 8.3% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Khari Parrish | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 99.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.