← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.78+8.65vs Predicted
-
2Fordham University2.63+4.52vs Predicted
-
3University of Rhode Island2.93+2.59vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University2.58+2.83vs Predicted
-
5Old Dominion University2.18+3.22vs Predicted
-
6Christopher Newport University1.89+3.62vs Predicted
-
7Jacksonville University2.12+1.60vs Predicted
-
8Tulane University2.23+0.03vs Predicted
-
9Northeastern University1.72+1.30vs Predicted
-
10Salve Regina University1.98-1.05vs Predicted
-
11University of South Florida1.59-0.29vs Predicted
-
12Cornell University2.27-3.99vs Predicted
-
13University of Michigan2.03-3.95vs Predicted
-
14George Washington University2.74-7.64vs Predicted
-
15Eckerd College2.17-6.61vs Predicted
-
16SUNY Maritime College1.44-4.80vs Predicted
-
17Hampton University-3.56-0.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.65U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.780.1%1st Place
-
6.52Fordham University2.630.1%1st Place
-
5.59University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
-
6.83Roger Williams University2.580.1%1st Place
-
8.22Old Dominion University2.180.1%1st Place
-
9.62Christopher Newport University1.890.0%1st Place
-
8.6Jacksonville University2.120.1%1st Place
-
8.03Tulane University2.230.1%1st Place
-
10.3Northeastern University1.720.0%1st Place
-
8.95Salve Regina University1.980.0%1st Place
-
10.71University of South Florida1.590.0%1st Place
-
8.01Cornell University2.270.1%1st Place
-
9.05University of Michigan2.030.1%1st Place
-
6.36George Washington University2.740.1%1st Place
-
8.39Eckerd College2.170.1%1st Place
-
11.2SUNY Maritime College1.440.0%1st Place
-
16.96Hampton University-3.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Welker | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 0.0% |
| Porter Kavle | 10.0% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Ingalls | 11.5% | 13.2% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| David Wood | 9.3% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Noyl Odom | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Charney | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 0.0% |
| Chris Kiener | 6.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Asher Zittrer | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Matt Hersey | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 0.2% |
| Alex Bowdler | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Hanley | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 13.4% | 16.3% | 0.1% |
| Gerard Eastman | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 0.1% |
| Jenna Probst | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 0.1% |
| Michael Ehnot | 10.5% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Connor Ratcliff | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Molesky | 2.5% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 12.7% | 19.1% | 0.1% |
| Khari Parrish | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 99.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.