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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.23+7.11vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College1.88+7.57vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.74+3.37vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.78+6.09vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.18+3.30vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College2.17+2.73vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.93-1.34vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.63-1.38vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University2.53-1.67vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.58-3.17vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University1.89-1.19vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University1.98-2.73vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.72-2.53vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan2.03-4.76vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida1.59-4.21vs Predicted
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16Cornell University1.45-4.61vs Predicted
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17Hampton University0.48-2.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.11Tulane University2.230.1%1st Place
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9.57SUNY Maritime College1.880.0%1st Place
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6.37George Washington University2.740.1%1st Place
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10.09U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.780.0%1st Place
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8.3Old Dominion University2.180.1%1st Place
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8.73Eckerd College2.170.1%1st Place
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5.66University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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6.62Fordham University2.630.1%1st Place
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7.33Jacksonville University2.530.1%1st Place
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6.83Roger Williams University2.580.1%1st Place
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9.81Christopher Newport University1.890.1%1st Place
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9.27Salve Regina University1.980.1%1st Place
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10.47Northeastern University1.720.0%1st Place
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9.24University of Michigan2.030.0%1st Place
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10.79University of South Florida1.590.0%1st Place
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11.39Cornell University1.450.0%1st Place
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14.43Hampton University0.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asher Zittrer | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 0.7% |
| Cormac Murphy | 4.4% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 3.7% |
| Michael Ehnot | 10.9% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Luke Welker | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 4.8% |
| Noyl Odom | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 2.2% |
| Connor Ratcliff | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 2.1% |
| Luke Ingalls | 12.8% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Porter Kavle | 9.8% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Jack Gower | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| David Wood | 8.3% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Spencer Charney | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 4.0% |
| Alex Bowdler | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 3.0% |
| Matt Hersey | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.5% |
| Jenna Probst | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 2.6% |
| Ethan Hanley | 3.0% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 8.1% |
| Tom O'Shea | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 10.8% |
| Can Dilikoglu | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 12.2% | 48.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.