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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.23+7.11vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan2.03+7.06vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.59+7.80vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.98+5.38vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.93+0.59vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.63+0.91vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.58-0.06vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.72+2.13vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University2.18-0.33vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.74-3.71vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University2.53-3.70vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College1.88-2.32vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College2.17-4.29vs Predicted
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14Cornell University1.45-2.43vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.78-5.00vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University1.96-6.59vs Predicted
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17Hampton University0.48-2.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.11Tulane University2.230.1%1st Place
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9.06University of Michigan2.030.1%1st Place
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10.8University of South Florida1.590.0%1st Place
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9.38Salve Regina University1.980.0%1st Place
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5.59University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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6.91Fordham University2.630.1%1st Place
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6.94Roger Williams University2.580.1%1st Place
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10.13Northeastern University1.720.0%1st Place
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8.67Old Dominion University2.180.0%1st Place
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6.29George Washington University2.740.1%1st Place
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7.3Jacksonville University2.530.1%1st Place
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9.68SUNY Maritime College1.880.0%1st Place
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8.71Eckerd College2.170.1%1st Place
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11.57Cornell University1.450.0%1st Place
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10.0U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.780.0%1st Place
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9.41Christopher Newport University1.960.0%1st Place
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14.43Hampton University0.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asher Zittrer | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| Jenna Probst | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 2.5% |
| Ethan Hanley | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 8.8% |
| Alex Bowdler | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 2.4% |
| Luke Ingalls | 13.2% | 13.1% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Porter Kavle | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| David Wood | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Matt Hersey | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 6.4% |
| Noyl Odom | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 1.6% |
| Michael Ehnot | 9.5% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Jack Gower | 10.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Cormac Murphy | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 3.6% |
| Connor Ratcliff | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.8% |
| Tom O'Shea | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 14.8% | 11.9% |
| Luke Welker | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 5.1% |
| Vir Menon | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 3.9% |
| Can Dilikoglu | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 13.9% | 47.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.