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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.58+5.78vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.23+6.20vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.63+3.74vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University1.96+5.45vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.93+0.57vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College2.17+2.69vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan2.03+2.09vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.98+1.09vs Predicted
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9Cornell University1.45+2.60vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.78-0.04vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University2.18-2.30vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University2.53-4.86vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida1.59-2.00vs Predicted
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14George Washington University2.74-7.51vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College1.88-5.38vs Predicted
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16Hampton University0.48-1.50vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.72-6.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.78Roger Williams University2.580.1%1st Place
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8.2Tulane University2.230.1%1st Place
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6.74Fordham University2.630.1%1st Place
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9.45Christopher Newport University1.960.0%1st Place
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5.57University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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8.69Eckerd College2.170.1%1st Place
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9.09University of Michigan2.030.0%1st Place
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9.09Salve Regina University1.980.1%1st Place
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11.6Cornell University1.450.0%1st Place
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9.96U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.780.0%1st Place
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8.7Old Dominion University2.180.1%1st Place
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7.14Jacksonville University2.530.1%1st Place
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11.0University of South Florida1.590.0%1st Place
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6.49George Washington University2.740.1%1st Place
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9.62SUNY Maritime College1.880.0%1st Place
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14.5Hampton University0.480.0%1st Place
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10.38Northeastern University1.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Wood | 9.9% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Asher Zittrer | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| Porter Kavle | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Vir Menon | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 3.6% |
| Luke Ingalls | 13.5% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Connor Ratcliff | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 1.6% |
| Jenna Probst | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 2.1% |
| Alex Bowdler | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 3.4% |
| Tom O'Shea | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 13.9% | 11.8% |
| Luke Welker | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 4.6% |
| Noyl Odom | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 2.2% |
| Jack Gower | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Ethan Hanley | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 8.6% |
| Michael Ehnot | 9.0% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Cormac Murphy | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 4.5% |
| Can Dilikoglu | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 13.3% | 48.1% |
| Matt Hersey | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 6.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.