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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University5.19+3.98vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida3.48+10.03vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.19+5.95vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.45+3.75vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston4.34+3.48vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy4.34+2.19vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.90+3.20vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University4.78-1.35vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont3.62+2.15vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University4.01-0.43vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.62+0.33vs Predicted
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12Boston University4.07-2.33vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.56-1.60vs Predicted
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14University of Miami2.43+1.93vs Predicted
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15Harvard University4.52-7.61vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University3.31-3.36vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania3.63-5.76vs Predicted
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18Tufts University3.70-7.12vs Predicted
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19U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.48-7.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.98Georgetown University5.190.2%1st Place
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12.03University of South Florida3.480.0%1st Place
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8.95Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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7.75Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.450.1%1st Place
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8.48College of Charleston4.340.1%1st Place
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8.19U. S. Naval Academy4.340.1%1st Place
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10.2Stanford University3.900.0%1st Place
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6.65Roger Williams University4.780.1%1st Place
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11.15University of Vermont3.620.0%1st Place
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9.57Old Dominion University4.010.0%1st Place
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11.33University of Rhode Island3.620.0%1st Place
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9.67Boston University4.070.0%1st Place
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11.4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.560.0%1st Place
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15.93University of Miami2.430.0%1st Place
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7.39Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
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12.64Salve Regina University3.310.0%1st Place
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11.24University of Pennsylvania3.630.0%1st Place
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10.88Tufts University3.700.0%1st Place
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11.58U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Buckingham | 15.4% | 13.6% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| SEAN Ross | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 7.1% |
| Joseph Morris | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.5% |
| David Thompson | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Jackson Benvenutti | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Robert Vann | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Mateo Vargas | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 2.2% |
| Cy Thompson | 11.2% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Coleman Bowen | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 4.9% |
| Dillon Paiva | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Matthew Carmody | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.3% |
| Ben Greenfield | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Frederick Whitman | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% |
| Alex Olt | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 13.3% | 43.3% |
| Alan Palmer | 8.3% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Matthew Schon | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 9.2% |
| Halsey Richartz | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 5.1% |
| Massimo Soriano | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 4.4% |
| Ian Holtzworth | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.