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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University1.85+6.26vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College1.48+6.95vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.09+3.68vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.14+2.10vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.20+4.74vs Predicted
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6Yale University1.70+3.60vs Predicted
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7Yale University1.59+1.50vs Predicted
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8Boston College1.73-0.42vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.18+0.38vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University0.46+3.75vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.61-2.87vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.62-3.95vs Predicted
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13Tufts University0.55-0.33vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy-0.82+3.12vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University1.84-5.84vs Predicted
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16Tufts University0.80-4.23vs Predicted
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17Tufts University0.80-5.33vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.82-6.34vs Predicted
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19Salve Regina University0.97-5.17vs Predicted
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20Williams College-1.40-1.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.26Harvard University1.858.0%1st Place
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8.95Bowdoin College1.486.4%1st Place
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6.68Roger Williams University2.0910.6%1st Place
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6.1Brown University2.1412.0%1st Place
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9.74University of Rhode Island1.204.0%1st Place
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9.6Yale University1.704.3%1st Place
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8.5Yale University1.596.0%1st Place
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7.58Boston College1.738.6%1st Place
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9.38Tufts University1.186.4%1st Place
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13.75Northeastern University0.461.9%1st Place
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8.13Roger Williams University1.616.7%1st Place
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8.05Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.627.4%1st Place
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12.67Tufts University0.551.7%1st Place
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17.12Maine Maritime Academy-0.820.9%1st Place
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9.16Roger Williams University1.844.5%1st Place
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11.77Tufts University0.802.6%1st Place
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11.67Tufts University0.803.1%1st Place
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11.66Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.822.4%1st Place
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13.83Salve Regina University0.972.1%1st Place
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18.41Williams College-1.400.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Strom | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Oliver Stokke | 10.6% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Lamm | 12.0% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Max Sigel | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Alex Adams | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Mathias Reimer | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Alex Lech | 8.6% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Aidan Boni | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 14.9% | 11.0% | 3.0% |
| Tristan McDonald | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| William Kulas | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kiana Beachy | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 1.8% |
| Isaac Thompson | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 9.4% | 30.9% | 29.2% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Grant Schmidt | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 1.2% |
| Blake Vogel | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 4.7% | 0.9% |
| Karya Basaraner | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 1.2% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 16.2% | 11.2% | 4.7% |
| Max Harthorne | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 18.8% | 56.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.