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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University2.18+6.97vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.74+4.07vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.59+7.31vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.93+1.64vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.63+1.52vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College1.88+3.32vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.17+1.31vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan2.03+0.57vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.58-2.39vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.98-0.93vs Predicted
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11Tulane University2.23-3.04vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University2.53-5.07vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.12-4.69vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.72-4.28vs Predicted
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15Cornell University1.45-3.99vs Predicted
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16Hampton University0.48-2.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.97Old Dominion University2.180.1%1st Place
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6.07George Washington University2.740.1%1st Place
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10.31University of South Florida1.590.0%1st Place
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5.64University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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6.52Fordham University2.630.1%1st Place
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9.32SUNY Maritime College1.880.0%1st Place
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8.31Eckerd College2.170.1%1st Place
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8.57University of Michigan2.030.1%1st Place
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6.61Roger Williams University2.580.1%1st Place
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9.07Salve Regina University1.980.1%1st Place
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7.96Tulane University2.230.1%1st Place
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6.93Jacksonville University2.530.1%1st Place
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8.31U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.120.1%1st Place
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9.72Northeastern University1.720.0%1st Place
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11.01Cornell University1.450.0%1st Place
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13.69Hampton University0.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noyl Odom | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 2.0% |
| Michael Ehnot | 11.0% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Ethan Hanley | 4.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 9.0% |
| Luke Ingalls | 11.3% | 13.1% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Porter Kavle | 9.1% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Cormac Murphy | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 6.0% |
| Connor Ratcliff | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 2.3% |
| Jenna Probst | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 2.8% |
| David Wood | 9.3% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Alex Bowdler | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 3.5% |
| Asher Zittrer | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 1.6% |
| Jack Gower | 9.2% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Garrett Lawlor | 5.1% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 2.1% |
| Matt Hersey | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 6.1% |
| Tom O'Shea | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 15.3% | 12.2% |
| Can Dilikoglu | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 8.3% | 13.5% | 49.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.