Race 14B

2019-coed-east-coast-showcase-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Michael Ehnot 10.7% 11.9% 9.3% 8.7% 11.1% 7.3% 7.1% 6.5% 6.8% 5.9% 4.7% 3.8% 3.1% 1.5% 1.4% 0.2%
Connor Ratcliff 5.7% 6.9% 6.6% 7.2% 7.0% 6.2% 5.1% 7.9% 7.0% 7.0% 6.3% 7.0% 5.7% 7.5% 4.7% 2.2%
Asher Zittrer 6.4% 7.0% 5.3% 6.8% 5.9% 7.4% 6.8% 7.5% 6.1% 8.3% 8.4% 8.1% 5.9% 4.9% 3.9% 1.3%
Ethan Hanley 2.4% 4.2% 3.2% 3.5% 5.8% 4.1% 4.3% 4.3% 5.5% 5.7% 6.6% 7.4% 8.6% 10.0% 15.6% 8.8%
Noyl Odom 5.4% 6.4% 5.0% 7.1% 6.7% 7.3% 8.5% 5.7% 6.8% 7.3% 7.5% 6.7% 7.2% 5.8% 4.8% 1.8%
Garrett Lawlor 4.9% 5.2% 7.1% 5.4% 7.7% 5.8% 6.2% 6.6% 7.9% 7.2% 7.1% 7.0% 7.2% 6.3% 5.2% 3.2%
Luke Ingalls 14.5% 9.7% 10.8% 10.5% 8.6% 9.1% 6.4% 6.7% 6.5% 5.6% 3.5% 3.2% 3.2% 1.2% 0.5% 0.0%
David Wood 9.0% 10.3% 9.0% 8.8% 7.1% 7.7% 8.3% 8.4% 7.4% 5.5% 6.0% 4.4% 3.0% 2.7% 1.9% 0.5%
Porter Kavle 9.6% 9.6% 10.1% 9.1% 6.4% 9.6% 9.4% 6.3% 5.7% 6.6% 4.3% 4.4% 3.5% 2.5% 2.5% 0.4%
Cormac Murphy 4.4% 4.1% 5.4% 5.1% 4.5% 5.1% 4.8% 5.6% 6.7% 9.3% 8.0% 7.3% 9.1% 9.3% 6.9% 4.4%
Jack Gower 9.3% 7.9% 9.5% 7.2% 7.3% 6.4% 8.4% 8.4% 7.6% 6.0% 6.8% 5.0% 4.1% 4.0% 1.5% 0.6%
Jenna Probst 5.8% 4.8% 5.2% 5.9% 7.3% 6.8% 6.3% 5.0% 6.7% 6.4% 5.9% 7.5% 8.1% 8.7% 6.1% 3.5%
Matt Hersey 2.8% 3.7% 4.8% 5.5% 4.4% 4.1% 5.4% 7.0% 5.6% 5.2% 7.2% 9.3% 8.4% 9.8% 9.9% 6.9%
Alex Bowdler 5.4% 4.7% 4.9% 5.5% 6.0% 5.8% 7.7% 6.6% 6.5% 5.8% 8.5% 7.3% 7.8% 7.3% 6.7% 3.5%
Tom O'Shea 3.0% 2.1% 3.0% 2.7% 3.2% 4.9% 4.0% 5.4% 4.9% 5.8% 5.5% 7.6% 9.3% 11.2% 15.8% 11.6%
Can Dilikoglu 0.7% 1.5% 0.8% 1.0% 1.0% 2.4% 1.3% 2.1% 2.3% 2.4% 3.7% 4.0% 5.8% 7.3% 12.6% 51.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.