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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Michigan University-1.37+3.59vs Predicted
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2Ohio State University-1.00+2.11vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University0.82-1.18vs Predicted
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4Miami University-2.16+1.75vs Predicted
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5Hope College-1.16-0.58vs Predicted
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6Western Michigan University-1.52-1.12vs Predicted
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7Michigan State University0.23-4.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.59Western Michigan University-1.370.1%1st Place
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4.11Ohio State University-1.000.1%1st Place
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1.82Michigan State University0.820.5%1st Place
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5.75Miami University-2.160.0%1st Place
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4.42Hope College-1.160.1%1st Place
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4.88Western Michigan University-1.520.0%1st Place
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2.42Michigan State University0.230.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Spano | 6.3% | 8.1% | 13.0% | 15.8% | 21.1% | 20.6% | 15.1% |
| Steven Neveadomi | 7.1% | 11.1% | 16.8% | 23.4% | 19.6% | 14.0% | 8.0% |
| Noah Wolters | 47.0% | 31.7% | 15.5% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Jack Brownlee | 1.7% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 10.3% | 12.7% | 21.5% | 45.5% |
| Grace Goszkowicz | 5.6% | 9.0% | 14.9% | 20.5% | 19.8% | 18.6% | 11.6% |
| Casey Mcvoy | 3.8% | 6.1% | 13.3% | 14.4% | 19.7% | 23.2% | 19.5% |
| Luke Koerschner | 28.5% | 30.5% | 21.7% | 11.4% | 5.9% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.