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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan State University0.82+0.82vs Predicted
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2Ohio State University-1.00+1.99vs Predicted
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3Western Michigan University-1.37+1.60vs Predicted
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4Hope College-1.16+0.32vs Predicted
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5Western Michigan University-1.52-0.20vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University0.23-3.54vs Predicted
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7Miami University-2.54-1.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.82Michigan State University0.820.5%1st Place
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3.99Ohio State University-1.000.1%1st Place
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4.6Western Michigan University-1.370.1%1st Place
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4.32Hope College-1.160.1%1st Place
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4.8Western Michigan University-1.520.0%1st Place
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2.46Michigan State University0.230.3%1st Place
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5.99Miami University-2.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Wolters | 49.4% | 29.1% | 14.0% | 5.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Steven Neveadomi | 8.1% | 11.3% | 20.0% | 20.5% | 19.4% | 15.2% | 5.5% |
| Joshua Spano | 5.3% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 18.1% | 21.4% | 23.2% | 12.1% |
| Grace Goszkowicz | 5.5% | 9.6% | 16.9% | 18.8% | 22.3% | 18.1% | 8.8% |
| Casey Mcvoy | 4.2% | 6.5% | 11.1% | 17.5% | 20.1% | 24.8% | 15.8% |
| Luke Koerschner | 25.8% | 33.0% | 21.4% | 11.2% | 6.3% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Elliott Bates | 1.7% | 2.2% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 16.5% | 57.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.