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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan State University0.82+0.83vs Predicted
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2Michigan State University0.23+0.38vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University-1.00+1.01vs Predicted
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4Hope College-1.16+0.26vs Predicted
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5Miami University-2.16+0.65vs Predicted
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6Western Michigan University-2.07-0.50vs Predicted
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7Western Michigan University-1.37-2.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.83Michigan State University0.820.5%1st Place
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2.38Michigan State University0.230.3%1st Place
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4.01Ohio State University-1.000.1%1st Place
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4.26Hope College-1.160.1%1st Place
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5.65Miami University-2.160.0%1st Place
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5.5Western Michigan University-2.070.0%1st Place
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4.38Western Michigan University-1.370.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Wolters | 49.9% | 27.6% | 14.8% | 5.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Luke Koerschner | 26.5% | 34.8% | 21.7% | 10.6% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Steven Neveadomi | 7.3% | 11.0% | 19.8% | 23.3% | 18.5% | 14.5% | 5.6% |
| Grace Goszkowicz | 5.7% | 9.9% | 16.5% | 21.1% | 22.3% | 16.3% | 8.2% |
| Jack Brownlee | 2.0% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 10.4% | 13.9% | 22.8% | 41.5% |
| Jacob Schott | 2.7% | 3.3% | 6.5% | 12.1% | 14.8% | 25.5% | 35.1% |
| Joshua Spano | 5.9% | 9.4% | 15.3% | 17.1% | 24.4% | 18.5% | 9.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.