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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan State University0.82+0.82vs Predicted
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2Ohio State University-1.00+1.96vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University0.23-0.61vs Predicted
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4Western Michigan University-1.37+0.59vs Predicted
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5Miami University-2.16+0.60vs Predicted
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6Hope College-1.16-1.75vs Predicted
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7Western Michigan University-2.07-1.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.82Michigan State University0.820.5%1st Place
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3.96Ohio State University-1.000.1%1st Place
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2.39Michigan State University0.230.3%1st Place
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4.59Western Michigan University-1.370.0%1st Place
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5.6Miami University-2.160.0%1st Place
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4.25Hope College-1.160.1%1st Place
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5.38Western Michigan University-2.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Wolters | 49.8% | 28.8% | 14.0% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Steven Neveadomi | 7.9% | 11.7% | 19.5% | 24.0% | 17.2% | 14.1% | 5.6% |
| Luke Koerschner | 25.9% | 35.9% | 20.9% | 10.1% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Joshua Spano | 4.4% | 7.2% | 14.2% | 18.3% | 23.0% | 20.7% | 12.2% |
| Jack Brownlee | 2.3% | 3.2% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 16.1% | 22.2% | 39.9% |
| Grace Goszkowicz | 6.5% | 9.2% | 16.4% | 22.8% | 20.3% | 15.3% | 9.5% |
| Jacob Schott | 3.2% | 4.0% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 16.5% | 25.4% | 32.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.