← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston4.34+7.56vs Predicted
-
2Harvard University4.52+5.85vs Predicted
-
3St. Mary's College of Maryland4.83+3.62vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University4.78+2.66vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University3.70+6.64vs Predicted
-
6Yale University4.19+3.09vs Predicted
-
7Stanford University3.90+3.49vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.48+4.46vs Predicted
-
9Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.45-1.10vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Naval Academy4.34-1.66vs Predicted
-
11Georgetown University5.19-5.76vs Predicted
-
12Old Dominion University4.01-1.65vs Predicted
-
13University of Vermont3.62-1.63vs Predicted
-
14Boston University4.07-4.19vs Predicted
-
15University of South Florida3.48-2.93vs Predicted
-
16University of Rhode Island3.62-4.46vs Predicted
-
17Salve Regina University3.31-4.08vs Predicted
-
18University of Pennsylvania3.63-6.52vs Predicted
-
19University of Miami2.43-3.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.56College of Charleston4.340.0%1st Place
-
7.85Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
-
6.62St. Mary's College of Maryland4.830.1%1st Place
-
6.66Roger Williams University4.780.1%1st Place
-
11.64Tufts University3.700.0%1st Place
-
9.09Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
-
10.49Stanford University3.900.0%1st Place
-
12.46U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.480.0%1st Place
-
7.9Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.450.1%1st Place
-
8.34U. S. Naval Academy4.340.1%1st Place
-
5.24Georgetown University5.190.1%1st Place
-
10.35Old Dominion University4.010.0%1st Place
-
11.37University of Vermont3.620.0%1st Place
-
9.81Boston University4.070.1%1st Place
-
12.07University of South Florida3.480.0%1st Place
-
11.54University of Rhode Island3.620.0%1st Place
-
12.92Salve Regina University3.310.0%1st Place
-
11.48University of Pennsylvania3.630.0%1st Place
-
15.65University of Miami2.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Benvenutti | 4.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Alan Palmer | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Michael Menninger | 10.8% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Cy Thompson | 8.6% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Massimo Soriano | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 4.7% |
| Joseph Morris | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
| Mateo Vargas | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 2.6% |
| Ian Holtzworth | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 9.2% |
| David Thompson | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Robert Vann | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Charlie Buckingham | 13.5% | 12.9% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dillon Paiva | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 1.8% |
| Coleman Bowen | 4.0% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.1% |
| Ben Greenfield | 5.1% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 1.7% |
| SEAN Ross | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 8.3% |
| Matthew Carmody | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 5.6% |
| Matthew Schon | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 12.3% |
| Halsey Richartz | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% |
| Alex Olt | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 9.9% | 13.6% | 38.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.