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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.09+5.54vs Predicted
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2Boston College1.73+5.57vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College1.48+6.04vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.18+5.57vs Predicted
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5Yale University1.59+3.65vs Predicted
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6Yale University1.70+3.51vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.62+1.17vs Predicted
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8Harvard University1.85-0.84vs Predicted
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9Tufts University0.80+2.87vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.82+1.65vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.84-1.96vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University0.46+1.82vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University1.61-4.78vs Predicted
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14Tufts University0.55-1.16vs Predicted
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15Tufts University0.80-3.33vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University0.97-2.08vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy-0.65-0.08vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island1.20-8.58vs Predicted
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19Williams College-1.40-0.59vs Predicted
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20Brown University2.14-13.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.54Roger Williams University2.0910.4%1st Place
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7.57Boston College1.738.0%1st Place
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9.04Bowdoin College1.484.8%1st Place
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9.57Tufts University1.184.9%1st Place
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8.65Yale University1.596.7%1st Place
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9.51Yale University1.705.0%1st Place
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8.17Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.626.5%1st Place
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7.16Harvard University1.858.3%1st Place
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11.87Tufts University0.803.2%1st Place
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11.65Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.822.5%1st Place
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9.04Roger Williams University1.844.7%1st Place
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13.82Northeastern University0.461.7%1st Place
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8.22Roger Williams University1.616.5%1st Place
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12.84Tufts University0.551.9%1st Place
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11.67Tufts University0.803.4%1st Place
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13.92Salve Regina University0.972.1%1st Place
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16.92Maine Maritime Academy-0.650.9%1st Place
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9.42University of Rhode Island1.205.7%1st Place
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18.41Williams College-1.400.4%1st Place
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6.01Brown University2.1412.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Stokke | 10.4% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Lech | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Mathias Reimer | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Alex Adams | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| William Kulas | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Harrison Strom | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Blake Vogel | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 1.6% |
| Karya Basaraner | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 3.8% | 0.8% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Aidan Boni | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 13.9% | 11.8% | 4.2% |
| Tristan McDonald | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Kiana Beachy | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 2.6% |
| Grant Schmidt | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 4.2% | 1.2% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 12.5% | 4.9% |
| Griffin Stolp | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 12.1% | 28.9% | 25.9% |
| Max Sigel | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Max Harthorne | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 17.8% | 57.3% |
| Tyler Lamm | 12.7% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.