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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University5.19+4.25vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston4.34+6.55vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland4.83+3.58vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania3.63+7.66vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy4.34+3.77vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.62+5.50vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.48+5.28vs Predicted
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8Boston University4.07+1.94vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.45-1.07vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University4.78-3.46vs Predicted
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11Harvard University4.52-3.21vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont3.62+0.03vs Predicted
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13University of Miami2.43+2.73vs Predicted
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14Tufts University3.70-2.57vs Predicted
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15Stanford University3.90-4.70vs Predicted
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16Yale University4.19-6.95vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University4.01-7.04vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida3.48-5.79vs Predicted
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19Salve Regina University3.31-6.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.25Georgetown University5.190.1%1st Place
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8.55College of Charleston4.340.1%1st Place
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6.58St. Mary's College of Maryland4.830.1%1st Place
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11.66University of Pennsylvania3.630.0%1st Place
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8.77U. S. Naval Academy4.340.1%1st Place
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11.5University of Rhode Island3.620.0%1st Place
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12.28U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.480.0%1st Place
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9.94Boston University4.070.1%1st Place
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7.93Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.450.1%1st Place
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6.54Roger Williams University4.780.1%1st Place
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7.79Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
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12.03University of Vermont3.620.0%1st Place
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15.73University of Miami2.430.0%1st Place
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11.43Tufts University3.700.0%1st Place
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10.3Stanford University3.900.0%1st Place
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9.05Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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9.96Old Dominion University4.010.0%1st Place
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12.21University of South Florida3.480.0%1st Place
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12.51Salve Regina University3.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Buckingham | 13.2% | 14.3% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Benvenutti | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Michael Menninger | 10.9% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Halsey Richartz | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 4.7% |
| Robert Vann | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Matthew Carmody | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 6.7% |
| Ian Holtzworth | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 7.8% |
| Ben Greenfield | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 2.0% |
| David Thompson | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Cy Thompson | 9.0% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| Alan Palmer | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Coleman Bowen | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 5.1% |
| Alex Olt | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 12.8% | 43.0% |
| Massimo Soriano | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 4.7% |
| Mateo Vargas | 4.9% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.7% |
| Joseph Morris | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% |
| Dillon Paiva | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 1.4% |
| SEAN Ross | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 11.5% | 6.4% |
| Matthew Schon | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 10.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.