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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rochester Institute of Technology0.49+2.23vs Predicted
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2Penn State University1.13+0.49vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University-0.10+1.18vs Predicted
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4Hamilton College0.59-0.91vs Predicted
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5Colgate University-0.68+0.08vs Predicted
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6University of Rochester-0.54-0.93vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University-0.99-1.37vs Predicted
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8Indiana University of Pennsylvania-2.25-0.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.23Rochester Institute of Technology0.4919.4%1st Place
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2.49Penn State University1.1330.9%1st Place
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4.18Syracuse University-0.1011.2%1st Place
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3.09Hamilton College0.5921.3%1st Place
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5.08Colgate University-0.686.3%1st Place
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5.07University of Rochester-0.546.0%1st Place
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5.63Syracuse University-0.993.5%1st Place
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7.23Indiana University of Pennsylvania-2.251.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Bender | 19.4% | 19.1% | 19.2% | 18.2% | 13.6% | 7.4% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| Barrett Lhamon | 30.9% | 26.3% | 20.2% | 12.4% | 6.7% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Tucker Ballou | 11.2% | 11.5% | 14.6% | 16.7% | 17.6% | 15.9% | 10.0% | 2.5% |
| Alan Becker | 21.3% | 19.9% | 19.1% | 18.6% | 12.7% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Jack Pearlson | 6.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 17.0% | 19.7% | 21.6% | 8.0% |
| Abby Eckert | 6.0% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 16.3% | 19.4% | 20.7% | 8.3% |
| Collin Ross | 3.5% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 12.2% | 20.9% | 27.8% | 13.7% |
| Isabel Allerheiligen | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 7.8% | 14.3% | 66.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.