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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Penn State University1.13+1.39vs Predicted
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2Hamilton College0.59+1.14vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University-0.10+1.20vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology0.49-0.72vs Predicted
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5Colgate University-0.68+0.06vs Predicted
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6University of Rochester-0.54-0.85vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University-0.99-1.41vs Predicted
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8Indiana University of Pennsylvania-2.25-0.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.39Penn State University1.1333.9%1st Place
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3.14Hamilton College0.5920.0%1st Place
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4.2Syracuse University-0.1010.9%1st Place
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3.28Rochester Institute of Technology0.4918.8%1st Place
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5.06Colgate University-0.685.5%1st Place
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5.15University of Rochester-0.545.8%1st Place
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5.59Syracuse University-0.994.4%1st Place
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7.18Indiana University of Pennsylvania-2.250.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barrett Lhamon | 33.9% | 26.6% | 18.1% | 12.7% | 6.2% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Alan Becker | 20.0% | 21.6% | 19.4% | 16.2% | 12.5% | 7.5% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Tucker Ballou | 10.9% | 11.9% | 14.0% | 16.7% | 17.9% | 15.6% | 10.4% | 2.6% |
| Cole Bender | 18.8% | 18.4% | 20.6% | 16.4% | 14.3% | 7.6% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
| Jack Pearlson | 5.5% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 14.8% | 19.4% | 22.1% | 7.3% |
| Abby Eckert | 5.8% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 13.4% | 14.0% | 21.1% | 20.5% | 9.2% |
| Collin Ross | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 15.3% | 17.8% | 27.4% | 14.2% |
| Isabel Allerheiligen | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 8.8% | 13.7% | 65.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.