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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Penn State University1.13+1.80vs Predicted
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2Queen's University0.56+1.64vs Predicted
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3Hamilton College0.59+0.62vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University-0.10+0.84vs Predicted
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5Rochester Institute of Technology0.49-1.21vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University-0.99+0.39vs Predicted
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7University of Rochester-0.54-1.12vs Predicted
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8Colgate University-0.68-2.06vs Predicted
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9Indiana University of Pennsylvania-2.25-0.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.8Penn State University1.1328.2%1st Place
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3.64Queen's University0.5617.4%1st Place
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3.62Hamilton College0.5916.7%1st Place
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4.84Syracuse University-0.109.2%1st Place
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3.79Rochester Institute of Technology0.4914.2%1st Place
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6.39Syracuse University-0.994.0%1st Place
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5.88University of Rochester-0.545.2%1st Place
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5.94Colgate University-0.684.2%1st Place
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8.1Indiana University of Pennsylvania-2.250.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barrett Lhamon | 28.2% | 22.8% | 18.1% | 13.9% | 9.4% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Julian Hill | 17.4% | 16.4% | 17.3% | 15.2% | 13.6% | 10.5% | 6.5% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Alan Becker | 16.7% | 17.9% | 16.8% | 15.2% | 14.3% | 10.2% | 6.2% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Tucker Ballou | 9.2% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 15.2% | 14.6% | 15.7% | 9.8% | 2.1% |
| Cole Bender | 14.2% | 16.3% | 16.4% | 16.6% | 15.2% | 10.9% | 7.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Collin Ross | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 13.5% | 17.2% | 27.3% | 13.6% |
| Abby Eckert | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 16.1% | 17.9% | 22.1% | 7.5% |
| Jack Pearlson | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 14.8% | 19.5% | 19.4% | 9.6% |
| Isabel Allerheiligen | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 13.8% | 65.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.