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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.53+0.50vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University-0.58+1.49vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.15-0.30vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-0.49-0.62vs Predicted
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5University of British Columbia-1.02-1.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.5University of Washington1.530.6%1st Place
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3.49Western Washington University-0.580.1%1st Place
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2.7Western Washington University0.150.2%1st Place
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3.38University of Washington-0.490.1%1st Place
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3.92University of British Columbia-1.020.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Skeel | 64.0% | 25.5% | 7.5% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Emily Tan | 7.2% | 14.7% | 25.4% | 26.9% | 25.8% |
| Jordan Wood-Pina | 16.3% | 31.2% | 25.9% | 19.1% | 7.5% |
| Ian Wolcott | 7.1% | 18.5% | 25.5% | 27.0% | 21.9% |
| Margaret Joba-Woodruff | 5.4% | 10.1% | 15.7% | 24.4% | 44.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.