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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.12+9.49vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.81+5.43vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.93+3.97vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania3.12+6.17vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.23+4.66vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.59+2.27vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.97+3.97vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.72-0.37vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.15+1.15vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University3.69-1.92vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22-0.99vs Predicted
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12Boston University3.49-2.92vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.47-4.42vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00-3.52vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.81-3.43vs Predicted
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16Tufts University2.61-3.46vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40-7.77vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-8.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.49Harvard University3.120.0%1st Place
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7.43Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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6.97Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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10.17University of Pennsylvania3.120.0%1st Place
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9.66College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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8.27Stanford University3.590.1%1st Place
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10.97Bowdoin College2.970.0%1st Place
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7.63Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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10.15Boston College3.150.0%1st Place
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8.08Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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10.01St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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9.08Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
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8.58Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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10.48Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.0%1st Place
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11.57Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
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12.54Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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9.23Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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9.69U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eli Burnes | 4.7% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.6% |
| Sean Segerblom | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Shawn Harvey | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 4.8% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% |
| Jack Brown | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.8% |
| Jack Parkin | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.5% |
| Christian Filter | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.3% |
| Ragna Agerup | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.3% |
| Sophia Reineke | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% |
| JC Hermus | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Leo Boucher | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% |
| Robert Bragg | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% |
| Carter Pemberton | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 11.5% | 12.2% |
| Charlie Hibben | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 11.5% | 19.8% |
| Hector Guzman | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.8% |
| Mack Fox | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.