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📊 Prediction Accuracy
5.6%
Within 2 Positions
5.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.49+7.84vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania3.12+8.56vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.93+4.00vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.23+5.66vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.97+5.83vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.15+4.19vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00+3.80vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.81+3.53vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.59-0.83vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.61+2.70vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University3.69-3.03vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University3.81-4.32vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40-4.11vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-4.40vs Predicted
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15Harvard University3.12-4.74vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22-6.05vs Predicted
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17Brown University3.72-9.17vs Predicted
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18Dartmouth College3.47-9.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.84Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
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10.56University of Pennsylvania3.120.0%1st Place
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7.0Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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9.66College of Charleston3.230.0%1st Place
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10.83Bowdoin College2.970.0%1st Place
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10.19Boston College3.150.0%1st Place
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10.8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.0%1st Place
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11.53Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
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8.17Stanford University3.590.1%1st Place
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12.7Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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7.97Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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7.68Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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8.89Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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9.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.0%1st Place
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10.26Harvard University3.120.0%1st Place
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9.95St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.0%1st Place
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7.83Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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8.5Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.0% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% |
| Shawn Harvey | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Jack Brown | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 4.5% |
| Christian Filter | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 10.3% |
| Sophia Reineke | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.3% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.5% |
| Carter Pemberton | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 13.4% |
| Jack Parkin | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.5% |
| Charlie Hibben | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 20.2% |
| JC Hermus | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% |
| Sean Segerblom | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% |
| Hector Guzman | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.0% |
| Mack Fox | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% |
| Eli Burnes | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% |
| Leo Boucher | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% |
| Ragna Agerup | 9.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Robert Bragg | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.