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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy4.34+7.50vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University5.19+3.30vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.90+7.49vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.45+4.10vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida3.48+7.53vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University4.78+0.72vs Predicted
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7Harvard University4.52+0.79vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston4.34+0.76vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland4.83-2.61vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.48+2.16vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.70+0.29vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University4.01-1.66vs Predicted
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13University of Miami2.43+2.75vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania3.63-2.27vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont3.62-3.51vs Predicted
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16Yale University4.19-7.04vs Predicted
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17Boston University4.07-7.33vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University3.31-5.16vs Predicted
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19University of Rhode Island3.62-7.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.5U. S. Naval Academy4.340.0%1st Place
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5.3Georgetown University5.190.1%1st Place
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10.49Stanford University3.900.0%1st Place
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8.1Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.450.1%1st Place
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12.53University of South Florida3.480.0%1st Place
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6.72Roger Williams University4.780.1%1st Place
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7.79Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
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8.76College of Charleston4.340.1%1st Place
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6.39St. Mary's College of Maryland4.830.1%1st Place
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12.16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.480.0%1st Place
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11.29Tufts University3.700.0%1st Place
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10.34Old Dominion University4.010.0%1st Place
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15.75University of Miami2.430.0%1st Place
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11.73University of Pennsylvania3.630.0%1st Place
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11.49University of Vermont3.620.0%1st Place
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8.96Yale University4.190.0%1st Place
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9.67Boston University4.070.0%1st Place
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12.84Salve Regina University3.310.0%1st Place
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11.18University of Rhode Island3.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Vann | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Charlie Buckingham | 14.8% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mateo Vargas | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.1% |
| David Thompson | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| SEAN Ross | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 7.9% |
| Cy Thompson | 11.2% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Alan Palmer | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Jackson Benvenutti | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Michael Menninger | 11.1% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Ian Holtzworth | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 6.1% |
| Massimo Soriano | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% |
| Dillon Paiva | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 2.0% |
| Alex Olt | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 12.8% | 43.4% |
| Halsey Richartz | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 5.5% |
| Coleman Bowen | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% |
| Joseph Morris | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Ben Greenfield | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Matthew Schon | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 12.0% | 10.6% |
| Matthew Carmody | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.