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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rochester-0.54+4.05vs Predicted
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2Penn State University1.13+0.42vs Predicted
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3Rochester Institute of Technology0.49+0.28vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University-0.99+1.58vs Predicted
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5Hamilton College0.59-1.84vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University-0.10-1.82vs Predicted
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7Colgate University-0.68-1.89vs Predicted
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8Indiana University of Pennsylvania-2.25-0.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.05University of Rochester-0.546.2%1st Place
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2.42Penn State University1.1333.8%1st Place
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3.28Rochester Institute of Technology0.4918.4%1st Place
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5.58Syracuse University-0.994.0%1st Place
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3.16Hamilton College0.5919.7%1st Place
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4.18Syracuse University-0.1011.4%1st Place
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5.11Colgate University-0.685.7%1st Place
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7.22Indiana University of Pennsylvania-2.250.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abby Eckert | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 17.8% | 20.9% | 19.1% | 7.5% |
| Barrett Lhamon | 33.8% | 26.5% | 18.7% | 10.9% | 6.5% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Cole Bender | 18.4% | 18.4% | 20.4% | 18.1% | 12.8% | 8.2% | 3.2% | 0.4% |
| Collin Ross | 4.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 13.2% | 18.6% | 28.4% | 13.3% |
| Alan Becker | 19.7% | 20.9% | 20.2% | 16.6% | 11.9% | 7.3% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Tucker Ballou | 11.4% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 16.6% | 17.6% | 16.4% | 10.0% | 2.4% |
| Jack Pearlson | 5.7% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 12.8% | 16.2% | 20.2% | 20.1% | 8.6% |
| Isabel Allerheiligen | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 15.1% | 67.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.