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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.81+6.53vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.23+8.06vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.15+7.38vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.72+3.64vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.59+3.19vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.61+6.45vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.81+4.57vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania3.12+2.20vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.47-0.34vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.12+0.57vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.97+0.08vs Predicted
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12Boston University3.49-3.00vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.93-6.31vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University3.69-6.53vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40-6.01vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00-5.19vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-6.99vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22-8.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.53Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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10.06College of Charleston3.230.0%1st Place
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10.38Boston College3.150.0%1st Place
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7.64Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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8.19Stanford University3.590.1%1st Place
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12.45Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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11.57Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
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10.2University of Pennsylvania3.120.0%1st Place
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8.66Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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10.57Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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11.08Bowdoin College2.970.0%1st Place
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9.0Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
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6.69Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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7.47Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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8.99Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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10.81Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.0%1st Place
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10.01U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.0%1st Place
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9.7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Segerblom | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Jack Brown | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% |
| Sophia Reineke | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 5.6% |
| Ragna Agerup | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.7% |
| Jack Parkin | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% |
| Charlie Hibben | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 19.4% |
| Carter Pemberton | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 12.1% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% |
| Robert Bragg | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.3% |
| Eli Burnes | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.9% |
| Christian Filter | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.8% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% |
| Shawn Harvey | 10.3% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| JC Hermus | 7.7% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% |
| Hector Guzman | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.1% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.4% |
| Mack Fox | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% |
| Leo Boucher | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 4.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.