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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.72+6.98vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.93+4.97vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.81+4.48vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.23+5.67vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.12+5.14vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University3.69+1.82vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.59+1.19vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.47+0.64vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+0.96vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania3.12+0.56vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40-1.73vs Predicted
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12Boston College3.15-1.45vs Predicted
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13Boston University3.49-4.48vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.61-1.91vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.81-3.44vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.97-5.00vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00-6.07vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22-8.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.98Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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6.97Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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7.48Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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9.67College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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10.14Harvard University3.120.0%1st Place
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7.82Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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8.19Stanford University3.590.1%1st Place
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8.64Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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9.96U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.0%1st Place
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10.56University of Pennsylvania3.120.1%1st Place
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9.27Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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10.55Boston College3.150.0%1st Place
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8.52Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
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12.09Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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11.56Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
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11.0Bowdoin College2.970.0%1st Place
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10.93Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.0%1st Place
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9.66St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ragna Agerup | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% |
| Shawn Harvey | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Sean Segerblom | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% |
| Jack Brown | 5.8% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% |
| Eli Burnes | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% |
| JC Hermus | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| Jack Parkin | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% |
| Robert Bragg | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% |
| Mack Fox | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.0% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.7% |
| Hector Guzman | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.0% |
| Sophia Reineke | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.9% |
| Charlie Hibben | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 12.3% | 16.7% |
| Carter Pemberton | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 12.9% |
| Christian Filter | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.7% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.1% |
| Leo Boucher | 4.8% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.