← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University3.72+6.91vs Predicted
-
2Stanford University3.59+6.44vs Predicted
-
3Bowdoin College2.97+8.25vs Predicted
-
4Georgetown University3.69+3.73vs Predicted
-
5Dartmouth College3.47+3.66vs Predicted
-
6Yale University3.93+0.79vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+2.93vs Predicted
-
8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22+1.75vs Predicted
-
9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00+1.77vs Predicted
-
10Boston University3.49-1.09vs Predicted
-
11Georgetown University3.81-3.59vs Predicted
-
12College of Charleston3.23-1.81vs Predicted
-
13Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40-4.09vs Predicted
-
14Harvard University3.12-4.05vs Predicted
-
15Tufts University2.61-2.67vs Predicted
-
16University of Pennsylvania3.12-5.65vs Predicted
-
17Boston College3.15-6.70vs Predicted
-
18Connecticut College2.81-6.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.91Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
-
8.44Stanford University3.590.1%1st Place
-
11.25Bowdoin College2.970.0%1st Place
-
7.73Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
-
8.66Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
-
6.79Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
-
9.93U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.0%1st Place
-
9.75St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.0%1st Place
-
10.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.0%1st Place
-
8.91Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
-
7.41Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
-
10.19College of Charleston3.230.0%1st Place
-
8.91Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
-
9.95Harvard University3.120.0%1st Place
-
12.33Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
-
10.35University of Pennsylvania3.120.0%1st Place
-
10.3Boston College3.150.0%1st Place
-
11.42Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ragna Agerup | 6.5% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% |
| Jack Parkin | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Christian Filter | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 9.9% |
| JC Hermus | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% |
| Robert Bragg | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.8% |
| Shawn Harvey | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Mack Fox | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.5% |
| Leo Boucher | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 3.3% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 6.6% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.5% |
| Sean Segerblom | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.3% |
| Jack Brown | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% |
| Hector Guzman | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.7% |
| Eli Burnes | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% |
| Charlie Hibben | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 11.7% | 17.7% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% |
| Sophia Reineke | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% |
| Carter Pemberton | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 11.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.