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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.49+7.85vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.72+5.85vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.93+4.01vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.81+3.23vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.59+3.21vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.12+4.33vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.47+1.74vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.61+4.33vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.97+1.94vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University3.69-1.93vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.15-0.70vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania3.12-1.31vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston3.23-3.39vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00-3.56vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22-5.19vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College2.81-4.29vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-6.93vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40-9.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.85Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
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7.85Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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7.01Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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7.23Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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8.21Stanford University3.590.1%1st Place
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10.33Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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8.74Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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12.33Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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10.94Bowdoin College2.970.0%1st Place
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8.07Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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10.3Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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10.69University of Pennsylvania3.120.0%1st Place
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9.61College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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10.44Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.0%1st Place
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9.81St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.0%1st Place
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11.71Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
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10.07U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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8.8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% |
| Ragna Agerup | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Shawn Harvey | 8.7% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Sean Segerblom | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% |
| Jack Parkin | 6.6% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 1.8% |
| Eli Burnes | 5.0% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% |
| Robert Bragg | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.2% |
| Charlie Hibben | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 19.1% |
| Christian Filter | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.4% |
| JC Hermus | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% |
| Sophia Reineke | 5.4% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.8% |
| Jack Brown | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.3% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% |
| Leo Boucher | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% |
| Carter Pemberton | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 14.7% |
| Mack Fox | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 4.6% |
| Hector Guzman | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.