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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.47+7.88vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.59+6.34vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.97+8.15vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+5.73vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.49+3.51vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University3.69+1.75vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22+2.76vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.61+4.25vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.12+1.20vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.93-3.02vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.15-0.79vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania3.12-1.46vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University3.81-5.88vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.72-6.63vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40-6.11vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston3.23-6.20vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00-6.21vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College2.45-5.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.88Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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8.34Stanford University3.590.1%1st Place
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11.15Bowdoin College2.970.0%1st Place
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9.73U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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8.51Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
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7.75Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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9.76St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.0%1st Place
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12.25Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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10.2Harvard University3.120.0%1st Place
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6.98Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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10.21Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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10.54University of Pennsylvania3.120.0%1st Place
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7.12Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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7.37Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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8.89Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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9.8College of Charleston3.230.0%1st Place
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10.79Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.0%1st Place
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12.74Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Bragg | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 3.1% |
| Jack Parkin | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Christian Filter | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.5% |
| Mack Fox | 5.0% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% |
| JC Hermus | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Leo Boucher | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.4% |
| Charlie Hibben | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 12.8% | 17.1% |
| Eli Burnes | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% |
| Shawn Harvey | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Sophia Reineke | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% |
| Sean Segerblom | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Ragna Agerup | 8.0% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Hector Guzman | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% |
| Jack Brown | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.8% |
| CJ Mckenna | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 11.9% | 20.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.