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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.59+7.35vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.12+8.43vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.69+4.95vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.49+4.49vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania3.12+5.13vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.45+7.01vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+1.94vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University3.81-0.87vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.61+3.36vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+0.13vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.47-2.18vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.93-4.89vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston3.23-3.42vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22-4.60vs Predicted
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15Boston College3.15-4.98vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.72-8.33vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00-6.16vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College2.97-7.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.35Stanford University3.590.1%1st Place
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10.43Harvard University3.120.0%1st Place
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7.95Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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8.49Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
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10.13University of Pennsylvania3.120.0%1st Place
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13.01Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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8.94Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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7.13Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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12.36Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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10.13U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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8.82Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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7.11Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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9.58College of Charleston3.230.0%1st Place
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9.4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.0%1st Place
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10.02Boston College3.150.0%1st Place
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7.67Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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10.84Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.0%1st Place
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10.63Bowdoin College2.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Parkin | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 1.2% |
| Eli Burnes | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% |
| JC Hermus | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% |
| CJ Mckenna | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 23.0% |
| Hector Guzman | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% |
| Sean Segerblom | 9.4% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Charlie Hibben | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 16.3% |
| Mack Fox | 5.5% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% |
| Robert Bragg | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.7% |
| Shawn Harvey | 9.3% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Jack Brown | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% |
| Leo Boucher | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 3.5% |
| Sophia Reineke | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% |
| Ragna Agerup | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 8.4% |
| Christian Filter | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.