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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.81+6.41vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00+8.97vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+7.09vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.59+4.04vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.47+3.58vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.93+0.72vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+2.00vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.49+0.51vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.23+0.67vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22+0.07vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania3.12-0.67vs Predicted
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12Boston College3.15-1.51vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.72-5.55vs Predicted
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14Harvard University3.12-4.15vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.61-2.73vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College2.46-3.00vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University3.69-9.08vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College2.97-7.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.41Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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10.97Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.0%1st Place
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10.09U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.0%1st Place
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8.04Stanford University3.590.1%1st Place
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8.58Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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6.72Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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9.0Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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8.51Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
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9.67College of Charleston3.230.0%1st Place
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10.07St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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10.33University of Pennsylvania3.120.0%1st Place
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10.49Boston College3.150.0%1st Place
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7.45Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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9.85Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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12.27Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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13.0Connecticut College2.460.0%1st Place
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7.92Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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10.61Bowdoin College2.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Segerblom | 8.0% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 7.8% |
| Mack Fox | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.5% |
| Jack Parkin | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Robert Bragg | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 1.9% |
| Shawn Harvey | 9.9% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Hector Guzman | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 2.7% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% |
| Jack Brown | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% |
| Leo Boucher | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.9% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.4% |
| Sophia Reineke | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% |
| Ragna Agerup | 9.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Eli Burnes | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% |
| Charlie Hibben | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 16.3% |
| Walter Henry | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 12.7% | 23.2% |
| JC Hermus | 8.2% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% |
| Christian Filter | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.