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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.06+8.63vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.84+8.61vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26+5.79vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.82+6.36vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.07+4.31vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.30+2.35vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.35+1.09vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.23+0.62vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.01+0.57vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94+0.26vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.18-1.90vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania2.43+0.55vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.17-4.24vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.61-2.96vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11-5.84vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University3.39-7.98vs Predicted
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17Yale University3.39-8.85vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College2.75-7.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.63Dartmouth College3.060.0%1st Place
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10.61Harvard University2.840.0%1st Place
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8.79Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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10.36Connecticut College2.820.0%1st Place
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9.31Stanford University3.070.1%1st Place
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8.35U. S. Naval Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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8.09Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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8.62College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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9.57Boston College3.010.0%1st Place
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10.26St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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9.1Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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12.55University of Pennsylvania2.430.0%1st Place
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8.76Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.170.1%1st Place
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11.04Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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9.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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8.02Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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8.15Yale University3.390.1%1st Place
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10.61Bowdoin College2.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Audrey Giblin | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.4% |
| Henry Burnes | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% |
| Emily Haig | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.0% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.7% |
| Wiley Rogers | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.1% |
| Parker Loftus | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 2.6% |
| Maia Agerup | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% |
| Steven Leuck | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% |
| Jack DeNatale | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% |
| Lewis Cooper | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 5.7% |
| Hannah Steadman | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% |
| Lenox Butcher | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 21.7% |
| Kyle Easton | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 3.1% |
| Samuel Merson | 3.8% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 11.5% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% |
| William Logue | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.0% |
| Luke Arnone | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.7% |
| Matt Safford | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.