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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.30+7.58vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.84+8.62vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.35+5.38vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.23+4.59vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.39+2.96vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94+3.91vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.01+2.64vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11+1.16vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26-0.48vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.82+0.78vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania2.43+1.27vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.17-2.74vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.18-4.29vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.61-2.92vs Predicted
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15Stanford University3.07-5.67vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University3.39-7.94vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College3.06-7.45vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College2.75-7.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.58U. S. Naval Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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10.62Harvard University2.840.0%1st Place
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8.38Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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8.59College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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7.96Yale University3.390.1%1st Place
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9.91St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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9.64Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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9.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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8.52Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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10.78Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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12.27University of Pennsylvania2.430.0%1st Place
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9.26Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.170.1%1st Place
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8.71Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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11.08Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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9.33Stanford University3.070.1%1st Place
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8.06Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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9.55Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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10.59Bowdoin College2.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Loftus | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.0% |
| Henry Burnes | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% |
| Maia Agerup | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% |
| Steven Leuck | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% |
| Luke Arnone | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% |
| Lewis Cooper | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% |
| Jack DeNatale | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.5% |
| Emily Haig | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.6% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 5.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.8% |
| Lenox Butcher | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 12.2% | 18.7% |
| Kyle Easton | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.5% |
| Hannah Steadman | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% |
| Samuel Merson | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 10.7% | 11.1% |
| Wiley Rogers | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% |
| William Logue | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.3% |
| Audrey Giblin | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% |
| Matt Safford | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.