← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston College3.01+8.88vs Predicted
-
2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94+8.24vs Predicted
-
3Stanford University3.07+6.58vs Predicted
-
4Connecticut College2.82+6.33vs Predicted
-
5Boston University3.35+3.15vs Predicted
-
6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.17+2.92vs Predicted
-
7Bowdoin College2.75+3.78vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26+0.47vs Predicted
-
9College of Charleston3.23-0.36vs Predicted
-
10Tufts University2.61+1.67vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Naval Academy3.30-2.52vs Predicted
-
12Harvard University2.84-1.23vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11-4.00vs Predicted
-
14Yale University3.39-6.33vs Predicted
-
15Georgetown University3.39-7.05vs Predicted
-
16University of Pennsylvania2.43-3.78vs Predicted
-
17Dartmouth College3.06-7.44vs Predicted
-
18Brown University3.18-9.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.88Boston College3.010.0%1st Place
-
10.24St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.0%1st Place
-
9.58Stanford University3.070.0%1st Place
-
10.33Connecticut College2.820.0%1st Place
-
8.15Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
-
8.92Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.170.1%1st Place
-
10.78Bowdoin College2.750.0%1st Place
-
8.47Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
-
8.64College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
-
11.67Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
-
8.48U. S. Naval Academy3.300.1%1st Place
-
10.77Harvard University2.840.0%1st Place
-
9.0U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
-
7.67Yale University3.390.1%1st Place
-
7.95Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
-
12.22University of Pennsylvania2.430.0%1st Place
-
9.56Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
-
8.69Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack DeNatale | 4.8% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% |
| Lewis Cooper | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% |
| Wiley Rogers | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.8% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.5% |
| Maia Agerup | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.5% |
| Kyle Easton | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% |
| Matt Safford | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% |
| Emily Haig | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.4% |
| Steven Leuck | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.0% |
| Samuel Merson | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 12.8% |
| Parker Loftus | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% |
| Henry Burnes | 3.5% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.8% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.7% |
| Luke Arnone | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| William Logue | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% |
| Lenox Butcher | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 18.5% |
| Audrey Giblin | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.5% |
| Hannah Steadman | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.