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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami3.99+7.93vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy4.09+6.49vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+6.56vs Predicted
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4Stanford University4.05+4.62vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University4.31+2.69vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.80+3.66vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+2.42vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.56+3.00vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96-0.20vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.92-0.94vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania2.79+3.04vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University4.33-4.36vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University2.54+1.70vs Predicted
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14Boston University3.63-3.38vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida3.49-4.04vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston3.64-5.64vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.30-5.13vs Predicted
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18Harvard University4.36-10.92vs Predicted
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19Old Dominion University3.30-7.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.93University of Miami3.990.0%1st Place
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8.49U. S. Naval Academy4.090.1%1st Place
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9.56Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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8.62Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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7.69Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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9.66Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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9.42Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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11.0Tufts University3.560.0%1st Place
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8.8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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9.06University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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14.04University of Pennsylvania2.790.0%1st Place
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7.64Georgetown University4.330.1%1st Place
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14.7Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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10.62Boston University3.630.0%1st Place
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10.96University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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10.36College of Charleston3.640.0%1st Place
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11.87U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.300.0%1st Place
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7.08Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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11.5Old Dominion University3.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Voss | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Clark Hayes | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Austen Anderson | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.5% |
| Kevin Laube | 6.4% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Sean Bouchard | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 6.0% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.9% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% |
| Amy Hawkins | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Amanda Johnson | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 15.0% | 20.7% |
| Scott Furnary | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Robert Lippincott | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 9.5% | 13.5% | 30.8% |
| Daniel Perkins | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 3.5% |
| Will Stocke | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.5% |
| Mac Mace | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 3.5% |
| Nick Aswad | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 8.2% |
| Brendan Kopp | 9.7% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.