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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Penn State University1.13+1.42vs Predicted
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2Hamilton College0.59+1.17vs Predicted
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3Rochester Institute of Technology0.49+0.24vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University-0.10+0.15vs Predicted
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5Colgate University-0.68+0.15vs Predicted
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6University of Rochester-0.54-0.89vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University-0.99-1.45vs Predicted
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8Indiana University of Pennsylvania-2.25-0.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.42Penn State University1.1333.8%1st Place
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3.17Hamilton College0.5918.8%1st Place
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3.24Rochester Institute of Technology0.4918.5%1st Place
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4.15Syracuse University-0.1011.5%1st Place
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5.15Colgate University-0.685.9%1st Place
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5.11University of Rochester-0.546.0%1st Place
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5.55Syracuse University-0.994.2%1st Place
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7.21Indiana University of Pennsylvania-2.251.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barrett Lhamon | 33.8% | 25.7% | 19.2% | 11.9% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Alan Becker | 18.8% | 21.4% | 19.6% | 17.5% | 12.5% | 7.2% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Cole Bender | 18.5% | 18.6% | 21.1% | 17.8% | 14.1% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 0.4% |
| Tucker Ballou | 11.5% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 18.2% | 17.6% | 15.1% | 9.3% | 2.8% |
| Jack Pearlson | 5.9% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 17.9% | 21.7% | 19.8% | 8.7% |
| Abby Eckert | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 12.5% | 14.5% | 21.7% | 20.4% | 8.5% |
| Collin Ross | 4.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 13.2% | 18.6% | 28.4% | 13.1% |
| Isabel Allerheiligen | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 15.6% | 66.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.