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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.07+8.55vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.39+6.15vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.39+5.25vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.35+4.07vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.30+3.31vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.01+3.63vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.06+2.40vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.23+0.60vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11+0.18vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania2.43+2.41vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.84-0.44vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26-3.05vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.82-2.69vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.18-5.41vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.75-4.24vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.17-7.00vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94-6.91vs Predicted
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18Tufts University2.61-6.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.55Stanford University3.070.1%1st Place
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8.15Yale University3.390.1%1st Place
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8.25Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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8.07Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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8.31U. S. Naval Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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9.63Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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9.4Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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8.6College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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9.18U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.0%1st Place
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12.41University of Pennsylvania2.430.0%1st Place
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10.56Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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8.95Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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10.31Connecticut College2.820.0%1st Place
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8.59Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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10.76Bowdoin College2.750.0%1st Place
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9.0Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.170.1%1st Place
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10.09St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.0%1st Place
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11.2Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wiley Rogers | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.3% |
| Luke Arnone | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.3% |
| William Logue | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Maia Agerup | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% |
| Parker Loftus | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.6% |
| Jack DeNatale | 5.8% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% |
| Audrey Giblin | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% |
| Steven Leuck | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.3% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% |
| Lenox Butcher | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 19.9% |
| Henry Burnes | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% |
| Emily Haig | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% |
| Hannah Steadman | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 2.3% |
| Matt Safford | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 9.3% |
| Kyle Easton | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% |
| Lewis Cooper | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.9% |
| Samuel Merson | 4.1% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 11.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.