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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.35+7.46vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.82+8.82vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.17+6.26vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.06+5.34vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.39+2.99vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.39+2.06vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11+2.26vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.30+0.30vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.84+1.45vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26-1.12vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.42-2.98vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston3.23-2.91vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.75-2.30vs Predicted
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14Boston College3.01-4.68vs Predicted
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15Stanford University3.07-5.62vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94-5.92vs Predicted
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17Tufts University2.61-5.41vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania2.43-5.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.46Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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10.82Connecticut College2.820.0%1st Place
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9.26Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.170.1%1st Place
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9.34Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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7.99Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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8.06Yale University3.390.1%1st Place
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9.26U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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8.3U. S. Naval Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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10.45Harvard University2.840.0%1st Place
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8.88Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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8.02Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.09College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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10.7Bowdoin College2.750.0%1st Place
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9.32Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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9.38Stanford University3.070.1%1st Place
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10.08St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.0%1st Place
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11.59Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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12.01University of Pennsylvania2.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maia Agerup | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.0% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% |
| Kyle Easton | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.0% |
| Audrey Giblin | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% |
| William Logue | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| Luke Arnone | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% |
| Parker Loftus | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% |
| Henry Burnes | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% |
| Emily Haig | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.4% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.1% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% |
| Steven Leuck | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% |
| Matt Safford | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.2% |
| Jack DeNatale | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% |
| Wiley Rogers | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% |
| Lewis Cooper | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% |
| Samuel Merson | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 14.2% |
| Lenox Butcher | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 16.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.