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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.84+9.60vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.06+7.74vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26+5.87vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.35+4.12vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11+4.20vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.01+3.64vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.42+0.87vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.17+0.94vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University3.39-0.99vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.61+1.70vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.39-2.80vs Predicted
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12Stanford University3.07-2.19vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy3.30-4.72vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College2.82-3.74vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston3.23-6.32vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania2.43-3.70vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College2.75-6.02vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94-8.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.6Harvard University2.840.0%1st Place
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9.74Dartmouth College3.060.0%1st Place
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8.87Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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8.12Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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9.2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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9.64Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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7.87Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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8.94Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.170.1%1st Place
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8.01Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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11.7Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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8.2Yale University3.390.1%1st Place
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9.81Stanford University3.070.1%1st Place
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8.28U. S. Naval Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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10.26Connecticut College2.820.0%1st Place
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8.68College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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12.3University of Pennsylvania2.430.0%1st Place
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10.98Bowdoin College2.750.0%1st Place
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9.78St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Burnes | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.4% |
| Audrey Giblin | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% |
| Emily Haig | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.4% |
| Maia Agerup | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.5% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 3.5% |
| Jack DeNatale | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% |
| Connor Nelson | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% |
| Kyle Easton | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.0% |
| William Logue | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% |
| Samuel Merson | 4.1% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 12.8% |
| Luke Arnone | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% |
| Wiley Rogers | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% |
| Parker Loftus | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 4.0% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% |
| Steven Leuck | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.6% |
| Lenox Butcher | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 18.5% |
| Matt Safford | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 11.0% |
| Lewis Cooper | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.