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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.42+7.22vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.17+7.30vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.84+7.76vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94+5.91vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26+3.55vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.35+2.21vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.17+2.00vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.39-0.04vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University3.39-1.01vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.01-0.04vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11-1.57vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston3.23-2.86vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.82-2.56vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.75-3.44vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy3.30-6.61vs Predicted
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16Tufts University2.61-4.47vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania2.43-4.64vs Predicted
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18Dartmouth College3.06-8.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.22Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.3Stanford University3.170.0%1st Place
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10.76Harvard University2.840.0%1st Place
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9.91St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.0%1st Place
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8.55Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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8.21Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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9.0Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.170.1%1st Place
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7.96Yale University3.390.1%1st Place
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7.99Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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9.96Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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9.43U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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9.14College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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10.44Connecticut College2.820.0%1st Place
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10.56Bowdoin College2.750.0%1st Place
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8.39U. S. Naval Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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11.53Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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12.36University of Pennsylvania2.430.0%1st Place
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9.29Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Nelson | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.9% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.3% |
| Henry Burnes | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.3% |
| Lewis Cooper | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% |
| Emily Haig | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% |
| Maia Agerup | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.0% |
| Kyle Easton | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% |
| Luke Arnone | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.5% |
| William Logue | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.4% |
| Jack DeNatale | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% |
| Steven Leuck | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% |
| Matt Safford | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.7% |
| Parker Loftus | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.2% |
| Samuel Merson | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 13.9% |
| Lenox Butcher | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 19.6% |
| Audrey Giblin | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.