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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.06+8.68vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.23+7.02vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.39+5.26vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.61+7.33vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.35+3.21vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.17+3.07vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26+1.62vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.84+2.34vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.42-1.13vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11-0.41vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.750.00vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.82-1.01vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.17-4.16vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy3.30-5.84vs Predicted
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15Yale University3.39-7.01vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94-5.88vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania2.43-4.64vs Predicted
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18Boston College3.01-8.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.68Dartmouth College3.060.0%1st Place
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9.02College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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8.26Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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11.33Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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8.21Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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9.07Stanford University3.170.1%1st Place
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8.62Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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10.34Harvard University2.840.0%1st Place
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7.87Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.59U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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11.0Bowdoin College2.750.0%1st Place
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10.99Connecticut College2.820.0%1st Place
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8.84Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.170.1%1st Place
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8.16U. S. Naval Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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7.99Yale University3.390.1%1st Place
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10.12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.0%1st Place
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12.36University of Pennsylvania2.430.0%1st Place
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9.54Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Audrey Giblin | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 4.8% |
| Steven Leuck | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% |
| William Logue | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Samuel Merson | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 12.4% |
| Maia Agerup | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% |
| Emily Haig | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% |
| Henry Burnes | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.8% |
| Connor Nelson | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% |
| Matt Safford | 4.6% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 9.9% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.2% |
| Kyle Easton | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.2% |
| Parker Loftus | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.1% |
| Luke Arnone | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.7% |
| Lewis Cooper | 4.2% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% |
| Lenox Butcher | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 18.7% |
| Jack DeNatale | 5.3% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.