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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University1.67+2.56vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont1.35+2.19vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.82+0.29vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.98-1.04vs Predicted
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5Amherst College0.53+0.86vs Predicted
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6Bates College0.28+0.38vs Predicted
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7McGill University0.06-0.26vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-1.05vs Predicted
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9University of Connecticut-1.01-0.22vs Predicted
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10Middlebury College-0.14-2.86vs Predicted
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11Wesleyan University-2.63-0.05vs Predicted
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12Fairfield University-2.92-0.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.56Yale University1.670.2%1st Place
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4.19University of Vermont1.350.1%1st Place
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3.29Salve Regina University1.820.2%1st Place
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2.96Tufts University1.980.3%1st Place
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5.86Amherst College0.530.1%1st Place
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6.38Bates College0.280.0%1st Place
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6.74McGill University0.060.0%1st Place
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6.95Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.0%1st Place
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8.78University of Connecticut-1.010.0%1st Place
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7.14Middlebury College-0.140.0%1st Place
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10.95Wesleyan University-2.630.0%1st Place
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11.2Fairfield University-2.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christophe Chaumont | 17.3% | 16.8% | 19.2% | 17.0% | 12.9% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Salvesen | 12.1% | 15.3% | 14.2% | 15.1% | 13.6% | 13.3% | 8.9% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Vincens | 21.9% | 18.1% | 19.4% | 13.7% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Holder | 25.3% | 23.9% | 16.4% | 15.6% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Gibbs | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 15.2% | 13.3% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 5.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Jack Valentino | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 17.8% | 14.9% | 13.4% | 7.1% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Baird | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 14.6% | 16.3% | 14.3% | 11.3% | 2.9% | 0.2% |
| Auguste Pizzano | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 14.7% | 18.7% | 12.1% | 3.7% | 0.1% |
| Colby Brennan | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 14.6% | 34.8% | 15.8% | 1.5% |
| Nicholas Leshaw | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 16.3% | 18.6% | 14.3% | 3.7% | 0.3% |
| Nalu Tripician | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 9.0% | 40.0% | 41.8% |
| Matthew Little | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 5.2% | 31.3% | 55.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.