Race 2A

fairfield-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Jack Valentino 4.4% 5.2% 5.4% 8.8% 10.7% 12.3% 13.6% 17.2% 13.7% 6.7% 2.0% 0.0%
Grace Vincens 20.5% 19.8% 19.1% 15.6% 11.7% 6.9% 4.6% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Christophe Chaumont 18.0% 18.7% 18.3% 14.3% 12.7% 9.4% 5.3% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Cameron Baird 2.5% 5.1% 4.4% 7.0% 9.2% 12.7% 15.3% 16.1% 13.6% 11.1% 2.7% 0.3%
Adam Gibbs 5.3% 6.5% 8.7% 11.7% 11.9% 13.1% 14.5% 11.9% 10.8% 4.2% 1.4% 0.0%
Colby Brennan 1.4% 1.2% 1.6% 2.5% 4.2% 5.2% 5.0% 9.5% 14.8% 35.2% 15.5% 3.9%
Nicholas Salvesen 13.8% 15.0% 15.6% 14.9% 13.0% 12.9% 7.7% 4.5% 1.9% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Chloe Holder 27.1% 22.2% 16.8% 13.2% 10.0% 6.2% 2.6% 1.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nalu Tripician 0.1% 0.2% 0.6% 0.5% 0.7% 0.7% 1.7% 2.0% 2.8% 10.0% 41.9% 38.8%
Nicholas Leshaw 3.6% 3.0% 4.9% 5.5% 7.2% 9.4% 14.2% 15.8% 19.5% 13.9% 2.7% 0.3%
Auguste Pizzano 3.0% 2.9% 4.3% 5.8% 8.1% 10.4% 14.3% 16.8% 18.1% 11.8% 3.9% 0.6%
Matthew Little 0.3% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.6% 0.8% 1.2% 1.2% 3.2% 6.1% 29.8% 56.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.