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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Amherst College0.53+4.89vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont1.35+2.13vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.82+0.28vs Predicted
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4Yale University1.67-0.49vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.98-1.98vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College-0.14+1.25vs Predicted
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7Bates College0.28-0.77vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-1.08vs Predicted
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9University of Connecticut-1.01-0.17vs Predicted
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10Wesleyan University-2.63+0.89vs Predicted
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11Fairfield University-2.92+0.21vs Predicted
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12McGill University0.06-5.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.89Amherst College0.530.1%1st Place
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4.13University of Vermont1.350.1%1st Place
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3.28Salve Regina University1.820.2%1st Place
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3.51Yale University1.670.2%1st Place
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3.02Tufts University1.980.3%1st Place
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7.25Middlebury College-0.140.0%1st Place
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6.23Bates College0.280.0%1st Place
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6.92Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.0%1st Place
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8.83University of Connecticut-1.010.0%1st Place
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10.89Wesleyan University-2.630.0%1st Place
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11.21Fairfield University-2.920.0%1st Place
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6.85McGill University0.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Gibbs | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 12.2% | 15.2% | 13.1% | 15.4% | 9.2% | 5.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Salvesen | 12.0% | 15.4% | 15.1% | 14.7% | 17.1% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Vincens | 21.1% | 20.2% | 17.3% | 15.2% | 11.6% | 8.4% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 19.5% | 16.1% | 17.7% | 18.6% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Holder | 25.5% | 21.5% | 18.6% | 14.2% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Leshaw | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 12.1% | 15.2% | 21.5% | 14.9% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| Jack Valentino | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 12.7% | 14.8% | 16.5% | 11.8% | 6.4% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Auguste Pizzano | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 15.3% | 16.7% | 14.6% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Colby Brennan | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 15.5% | 33.3% | 15.8% | 3.1% |
| Nalu Tripician | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 7.6% | 43.4% | 38.3% |
| Matthew Little | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 2.8% | 5.9% | 29.8% | 57.1% |
| Cameron Baird | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 14.4% | 16.9% | 15.2% | 11.0% | 3.1% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.