← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University1.67+2.56vs Predicted
-
2Salve Regina University1.82+1.25vs Predicted
-
3University of Vermont1.35+1.11vs Predicted
-
4Amherst College0.53+1.91vs Predicted
-
5Bates College0.28+1.38vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University1.98-3.06vs Predicted
-
7Middlebury College-0.14+0.17vs Predicted
-
8University of Connecticut-1.01+0.78vs Predicted
-
9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-2.03vs Predicted
-
10McGill University0.06-3.17vs Predicted
-
11Wesleyan University-2.63-0.09vs Predicted
-
12Fairfield University-2.92-0.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.56Yale University1.670.2%1st Place
-
3.25Salve Regina University1.820.2%1st Place
-
4.11University of Vermont1.350.1%1st Place
-
5.91Amherst College0.530.0%1st Place
-
6.38Bates College0.280.0%1st Place
-
2.94Tufts University1.980.3%1st Place
-
7.17Middlebury College-0.140.0%1st Place
-
8.78University of Connecticut-1.010.0%1st Place
-
6.97Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.0%1st Place
-
6.83McGill University0.060.0%1st Place
-
10.91Wesleyan University-2.630.0%1st Place
-
11.2Fairfield University-2.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christophe Chaumont | 17.2% | 17.1% | 19.8% | 15.6% | 13.5% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Grace Vincens | 20.9% | 21.6% | 18.0% | 14.8% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Salvesen | 14.5% | 12.8% | 17.3% | 11.8% | 15.1% | 13.1% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Gibbs | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 14.2% | 14.1% | 15.2% | 10.2% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Jack Valentino | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 17.4% | 12.9% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Holder | 25.5% | 23.9% | 15.6% | 16.3% | 9.5% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Leshaw | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 12.7% | 16.6% | 18.7% | 13.6% | 4.3% | 0.5% |
| Colby Brennan | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 14.6% | 33.7% | 16.9% | 2.8% |
| Auguste Pizzano | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 12.4% | 14.1% | 16.8% | 17.8% | 10.7% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Baird | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 8.6% | 12.6% | 13.6% | 14.0% | 17.1% | 12.2% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Nalu Tripician | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 8.6% | 40.5% | 40.7% |
| Matthew Little | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 6.2% | 30.4% | 55.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.