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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+8.38vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida3.49+9.11vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.92+6.27vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy4.09+4.39vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University4.31+2.72vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96+2.93vs Predicted
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7Stanford University4.05+1.66vs Predicted
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8University of Miami3.99+1.19vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.63+1.27vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.30+1.85vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.80-1.32vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania2.79+2.36vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-3.85vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University2.54+1.03vs Predicted
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15Tufts University3.56-4.34vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University3.30-4.14vs Predicted
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17Harvard University4.36-9.78vs Predicted
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18College of Charleston3.64-7.69vs Predicted
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19Georgetown University4.33-12.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.38Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.0%1st Place
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11.11University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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9.27University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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8.39U. S. Naval Academy4.090.1%1st Place
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7.72Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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8.93St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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8.66Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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9.19University of Miami3.990.1%1st Place
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10.27Boston University3.630.0%1st Place
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11.85U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.300.0%1st Place
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9.68Yale University3.800.0%1st Place
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14.36University of Pennsylvania2.790.0%1st Place
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9.15Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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15.03Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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10.66Tufts University3.560.0%1st Place
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11.86Old Dominion University3.300.0%1st Place
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7.22Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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10.31College of Charleston3.640.0%1st Place
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6.94Georgetown University4.330.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnny Norfleet | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.0% |
| Will Stocke | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 4.6% |
| Amy Hawkins | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.1% |
| Clark Hayes | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Sean Bouchard | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 7.6% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.0% |
| Kevin Laube | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Nicholas Voss | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| Daniel Perkins | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.7% |
| Nick Aswad | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.6% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.0% |
| Amanda Johnson | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 14.9% | 22.8% |
| Austen Anderson | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.7% |
| Robert Lippincott | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 13.6% | 30.8% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.1% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 7.8% |
| Brendan Kopp | 8.9% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Mac Mace | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.7% |
| Scott Furnary | 10.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.