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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Penn State University1.13+1.68vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University-0.10+2.48vs Predicted
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3University of Rochester-0.54+2.37vs Predicted
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4Hamilton College0.59-0.60vs Predicted
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5Queen's University0.56-1.56vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University-0.99-0.18vs Predicted
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7Rochester Institute of Technology0.49-3.47vs Predicted
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8Indiana University of Pennsylvania-2.25-0.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.68Penn State University1.1328.5%1st Place
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4.48Syracuse University-0.109.6%1st Place
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5.37University of Rochester-0.545.4%1st Place
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3.4Hamilton College0.5917.8%1st Place
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3.44Queen's University0.5617.0%1st Place
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5.82Syracuse University-0.994.9%1st Place
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3.53Rochester Institute of Technology0.4915.7%1st Place
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7.29Indiana University of Pennsylvania-2.251.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barrett Lhamon | 28.5% | 24.9% | 18.2% | 14.2% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Tucker Ballou | 9.6% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 14.3% | 18.1% | 20.0% | 12.2% | 3.5% |
| Abby Eckert | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 14.4% | 21.1% | 26.7% | 9.0% |
| Alan Becker | 17.8% | 18.1% | 19.5% | 16.0% | 14.1% | 9.5% | 4.0% | 1.0% |
| Julian Hill | 17.0% | 17.8% | 18.2% | 18.0% | 14.7% | 9.5% | 4.2% | 0.5% |
| Collin Ross | 4.9% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 19.1% | 33.1% | 15.5% |
| Cole Bender | 15.7% | 18.4% | 16.4% | 17.5% | 16.6% | 10.0% | 4.1% | 1.2% |
| Isabel Allerheiligen | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 14.8% | 69.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.